Super Bowl 43 Handicapping and Pick

Pittsburgh Steelers -7 over Arizona Cardinals

If this game had been played without the extra week off I might have been more tempted to go with a red hot, powerful offense led by Kurt Warner.  But, although it’s getting to be an obvious, trendy pick to be on the Steelers it’s who I like.  If this game were played in week 15 of the season the Steelers would have been nearly a 2 TD favorite and even if played mid-season Pitt would have been a 10 point favorite.  So there is some line value here as well.

The Steelers D is simply too good and the Cardinals have relied heavily on the home crowd emotion to play better (but still not great) defense against Atlanta and Philly.  Big Ben should have a big day passing and run up at least 4 TDs and against the physical Steeler defense the Cardinals passing game won’t ever get going.